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Some believe this is Rafa Márquez’s first major test as Mexico’s head coach. Others are trying to downplay the importance of the matchup simply because the opponent is Jamaica. The truth is, the pressure is there, and there is no hiding from it.

Like it or not, Márquez failed to win any of his first four games in charge of El Tri. Fair enough, he was experimenting with players and those were early preparations for the World Cup. But even then, Mexico suffered a humiliating 3-0 defeat against the United States in Glendale. Surely, that result should have raised some serious questions.

Enter Jamaica

Now comes Jamaica. Márquez’s first official competitive assignment, and Mexico have a clear obligation: qualify for the Nations League Final Four this Saturday.

El Tri arrive surrounded by doubts and under enormous pressure. The Mexican media have certainly played their part in creating an atmosphere unlike anything Márquez has experienced as a coach. Perhaps his extraordinary career as a player has something to do with it. There seems to be a strange tendency in Mexican football to almost want legendary figures to fail when they step into management.

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We saw something similar with Hugo Sánchez, arguably the greatest Mexican footballer of all time. His failure to lead Mexico to the 2008 Beijing Olympics ultimately cost him his job. Now, Márquez appears to be facing a similar level of scrutiny.

The criticism began almost immediately after his appointment. Many questioned his lack of experience managing a first-division club. His only previous managerial experience came with Barcelona’s reserve team, Barça Atlètic, before joining Javier Aguirre’s coaching staff and serving as his apprentice throughout the World Cup cycle, which culminated at the 2026 tournament.

On top of that, some of Márquez’s public comments and certain remarks directed at his own players have reportedly rubbed sections of the media and even people inside the squad the wrong way.

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That is why the pressure keeps building ahead of these two games against Jamaica. Beyond the obligation to advance, Márquez desperately needs his first win as Mexico’s head coach. The ‘Kaiser’ is still searching for his first victory. In his opening four matches, Mexico drew against Colombia and Peru before suffering defeats to the United States (3-0) and Chile (2-0). El Tri scored just twice and conceded seven goals.

This matchup against the Reggae Boyz represents much more than the beginning of a two-legged tie. It is an opportunity for Márquez to find some answers, establish a clearer footballing identity and start building confidence ahead of the next international challenges.

Returns that give Mexico hope

Rafael Márquez has welcomed back several important players for this Nations League knockout tie. Julián Quiñones, Alexis Vega and Jesús Manuel ‘Tecatito’ Corona headline the list of returning internationals.

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Another name worth watching is Armando León. The Mexican forward, who plays his football in Europe, has earned his first-ever call-up to the senior national team. Gilberto Mora is also back after overcoming the physical problems that kept him out of the previous squad.

The biggest absence is Raúl Jiménez, who is currently recovering from knee surgery.

Jamaica looking to make home advantage count

Jamaica finished second in Group B of League A with seven points, recording two wins, one draw and one defeat.

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The Reggae Boyz, managed by Rudolph Speid, will be looking to make the most of their home support at the National Stadium in Kingston and put themselves in a strong position before the return leg in Monterrey.

However, Jamaica will also be without several key players. Leon Bailey, Demarai Gray, Shamar Nicholson and Bobby De Cordova-Reid are among the reported absentees.

Mexico have unfinished business

Mexico may hold the historical advantage over Jamaica, but the Caribbean side have already shown they can make life difficult for El Tri. Their most recent victory came in the 2017 Gold Cup semifinals, when they secured a 1-0 win thanks to a stunning free kick from Kemar Lawrence. Since then, Mexico have gone six games unbeaten against Jamaica, recording four wins and two draws.

What’s at stake?

The Nations League quarterfinal will be decided over two legs. The return match is scheduled for Tuesday, November 17, at Estadio Monterrey.

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The winner on aggregate will advance to the Nations League Final Four, scheduled for March 2027 in Los Angeles, while also securing direct qualification for the 2027 Gold Cup.

Mexico’s possible starting XI: 
Raúl Rangel;
Rodrigo Huescas, Johan Vásquez, César Montes, Jesús Gallardo;
Erik Lira, Luis Romo, Gilberto Mora;
Julián Quiñones, Roberto Alvarado, Santiago Giménez

Where to watch: TUDN USA, Univision, TUDN.com, Univision NOW and ViX.

Kickoff: 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT.

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